- Retail sales growth slowed in March to 2.8% y/y, from 3.9% y/y (revised from 3.8% y/y), but grew at a slightly faster pace than the 2.4% y/y expected by market consensus.
- On a seasonally adjusted basis, month on month retail sales fell 0.9%. Compared to the first quarter of last year, retail sales increased 3.0% in Q1.13.
- Virtually all of the main categories of retailers registered an increase in sales growth in March with the largest contribution of 1.4%, to headline retail sales of 2.8% y/y, stemming from general dealers. The only category in which sales volumes fell was in household furniture, appliance and equipment and this deducted 0.3% from headline sales.
- Developments in the retail space in Q1.13 suggest that household finances have been under some strain on the back of rising inflation during Q1.13 coupled with deleveraging by consumers. While current growth in unsecured credit, at 27% y/y, is fairly strong, the rate has been slowing since the start of the year. Moreover, there is a potential for a further gradual slowing in unsecured credit growth as regulators and lenders have adopted a more cautious stance. This is likely already contributing to dampening retail sales growth somewhat.
- In terms of the implications for monetary policy, it is likely that the SARB will keep interest rates unchanged at next week’s MPC meeting. It can be expected that the SARB will continue to highlight the risks to growth prospects but until there is a meaningful deterioration in both domestic and offshore economic conditions it is likely that the SARB will hold off on further interest rate cuts at this stage.
- There are a number of considerations which support a no change interest rate verdict. Since the beginning of the year, the rand has depreciated and should this trajectory be sustained, the impact will feed through to inflation with a lag of 12 – 18 months. With interest rates at historic lows a rate cut of 25bpt would only be beneficial at the margin. With a number of developed and emerging market economies resuming monetary easing, a similar move by the SARB could undermine the carry trade and impact bond flows. This would be undesirable in light of the deficits on the trade and current accounts, which are being primarily financed by portfolio flows that can easily be reversed.
Thursday, May 16, 2013
SA Retail Sales Update
Equity Snapshot - 16 May 2013
Wayne Hook - CEO, Spar:
Tops liquor stores star performer for
Spar. “I think everyone is scrapping for market share, stores are opening all
over the show and so ja, I think it’s all round tough trading at the moment. But
for us we still believe in our independent retail model, the guys [are] out
there with their livelihoods on the line and really doing a good job for us
despite the tough times.”
PPC revenue up 8%:
Interim dividend of 38 cents per share
declared.
- Improvement in South African and Zimbabwean cement
sales
- Cash generated from operations up 20%
- Normalised earnings per share increased by
4%
- Tangible progress with our rest of Africa expansion
strategy
- Technical issues at Dwaalboom resolved
- Interim dividend of 38 cents per share (2012: 38 cents
per share)
Richemont FY HEPS up
30%: The Board has proposed a dividend
of CHF 1.00 per share.
- Sales increased by 14 % to Euro 10 150 million and by 9
% on a constant currency basis
- Solid growth across segments, regions and
channels
- Operating profit increased by 18 % to Euro 2 426
million
- Operating margin gained 80 basis points to reach 23.9
%
- Profit for the year rose by 30 % to Euro 2 005
million
- Cash flow from operations of Euro 1 944
million
- Proposed dividend of CHF 1.00 per
share
Sovereign Food FY HEPS up
10%: Dividend per share of 19 cents
declared.
- Headline earnings per share up 10% to 74,5
cents
- EBITDA margin of 9,2%
- Dividend per share of 19,0 cents
declared
- Net asset value per share up 10% to 808
cents
Lonmin workers return to
work: There are channels to be followed
- Mathunjwa. Striking workers at the Lonmin platinum mine in Marikana in the
North West resolved to return to work immediately on Wednesday. Association of
Mineworkers and Construction Union (Amcu) president Joseph Mathunjwa held a
meeting with the workers and told them to return to work. "There are channels to
be followed... go back to work so that your enemies will not take advantage of
this situation," Mathunjwa told the workers gathered at nearby Wonderkop
stadium. Miners would start reporting for work for the 6pm shift on Wenesday
night, he said.
Great Basin's Dippenaar
reunites with Village's Swanepoel: JOHANNESBURG (MINEWEB) - Bernard Swanepoel and Ferdi
Dippenaar, the pair behind the creation and growth of Harmony Gold as a major
gold miner during the late 1990’s, have joined up again with Dippenaar’s
appointment as the managing director of Village Main Reef’s gold assets, a
company where Swanepoel is the current CEO. The reunification would see
Swanepoel and Dippenaar working side-by-side in executive capacities for the
first time since the latter left Harmony in 2005 to pursue his own interests and
listed Great Basin Gold – one of SA mining’s biggest failures in recent times –
the year thereafter.
Source: 28E Capital (Pty) Ltd
Wednesday, May 15, 2013
Equity Snapshot - 15 May 2013
A brief glance at Afrimat:
Its results, the Infrasors acquisition
and where management is taking the company. Afrimat released its annual 13
results last week, reporting revenue up 34% to R1.3bn (FY 12: R1bn) and headline
earnings per share growth of 23% to 76.9cps (FY 12: 62.6cps). The Group produced
excellent cash generation and still has a very comfortable balance sheet. The
Clinker Group’s results were consolidated for the full FY 13 period adding
revenues of R285m (FY 12: Rnil) and PAT of R47m (FY 12: Rnil) to the Group's
results.
Gas game-changer for SA:
Dames: Gas infrastructure is also
cost-effective - Dames. Gas can be a "game-changer" for South Africa in the
power sector, Eskom CEO Brian Dames said on Tuesday. He said Eskom was
particularly aware of the deficit in access to electricity, and that there was a
growing role for gas in the country and in the sub-Saharan region. "It is a lot
less carbon intensive than fossil fuels, and some of the cleanest fossil fuel,"
he told delegates at the African Utility Week conference in Cape
Town.
Work at all shafts halted:
Lonmin: Shares open 5% lower.
JOHANNESBURG - Workers at the South African operations of platinum producer
Lonmin (JSE:LON)
have gone on a wildcat strike, the company said on Tuesday, halting work across
its operations and reigniting fears of deadly unrest that hit the industry last
year. The platinum belt city of Rustenburg is a potential flashpoint with
tensions running high with job cuts and wage talks looming. One of Lonmin's
operations were the hotspot of last year's strikes, where 34 workers were killed
by police in a single day at its Marikana operation in
August.
India’s on Life Healthcare’s
radar: And plans to add 1 000 beds in
SA over the next few years. South Africa’s second-largest private hospital owner
by market value, Life Healthcare Group Holdings (JSE:LHC),
will seek expansion opportunities in India and Africa to respond to slower
profit growth. Net income increased 15% to R790 million in the six months
through March, compared with a 25% gain a year earlier, the Johannesburg-based
company said in a statement on Tuesday. Paid patient days rose 1.5%, compared
with 6% in 2012. Life Healthcare will pay a half-year dividend of 54 cents a
share, an increase of 20%.
Other highlights from the
results:
- Paid patient days (PPDs): +1.5%
- Revenue: +7.0% to R5 638 million
- Operating profit: +12.7% to R1 361
million
- Normalised earnings per share: +14.5% to 71.3
cents
PIC would prefer SA buyer
for Adcock: Following its non-binding
proposals received last week. The Public Investment Corp., the biggest
shareholder in takeover target Adcock Ingram, would prefer a South African
company to buy the country’s largest supplier of hospital goods. “Shareholder
returns have to be balanced with social returns and what is important for South
Africa at large,” PIC Chief Investment Officer Dan Matjila said. “Health is an
important priority in terms of its social impact and a local player would also
help drive Adcock’s empowerment objectives.” PIC, which has a 14% stake in
Adcock, oversees the pension funds of South African government workers. Adcock’s
empowerment objectives refer to the country’s aim to ensure greater black
ownership in all companies that had little or none under
apartheid.
Cosatu to march against
e-tolls, again: Vows to have 'a total
shutdown. 'Cosatu has vowed to take to Gauteng's highways later this month and
shut them down to protest against e-tolling and labour brokers. The union
federation had held discussions with both the Gauteng and national governments
in an attempt to persuade them to ban labour brokers and scrap e-tolls, Congress
of SA Trade Unions Gauteng secretary Dumisani Dakile said on Tuesday. "We have
also had discussions with the African National Congress in an attempt to deal
with these two central issues, and these discussions have not yielded any
positive outcomes thus far."He said many members of the ANC in state and
government and members of society supported Cosatu in its campaign against these
two issues.
IMF trims sub-Saharan Africa
growth outlook to: To 5.7% in
2014.ACCRA - The IMF on Tuesday trimmed its growth outlook for sub-Saharan
Africa to 5.4% in 2013 and 5.7%in 2014 but said economic activity was being
supported by rising investment and booming extractive industries.The IMF had
forecast sub-Saharan Africa's growth at 5.6% and 6.1% respectively in its World
Economic Outlook in April."Sub-Saharan Africa will be among the fastest growing
places in the world ... second only to developing Asia," Antoinette Sayeh,
director of the IMF's Africa department, told journalists in Ghana's capital
Accra.
SAA to take delivery of
twenty airbus Planes: The aircraft form
part of a broader fleet replacement plan - Gigaba. JOHANNESBURG - South Africa's
national airline will start taking delivery of twenty Airbus A320 aircraft
valued at R10bn in the next quarter, Public Enterprises Minister Malusi Gigaba
said on Tuesday. "(The aircraft) form part of a broader fleet replacement plan
that aims to address the fuel inefficiency of SAA's current long-haul fleet,"
Gigaba told parliament.
Source: 28E Capital (Pty) Ltd
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
Equity Snapshot
Lonmin workers on wildcat
strike: The strike appeared to stem
from anger over killing of an organiser from rival union.
Workers at the South African
operations of platinum producer Lonmin have gone on a wildcat strike, a
spokesman for the National Union of Mineworkers said.
"All operations are down at
Lonmin," Lesiba Seshoka told Reuters. The strike appeared to stem from anger
over the weekend killing of an organiser from rival union Association
of Mineworkers and Construction Union.
Coronation H1 HEPS up 88%:
Interim dividend per share of 163
cents. Assets under management of R409 billion. Diluted headline earnings per
share of 163.4 cents. Interim dividend per share of 163
cents
Stefanutti Stocks FY HEPS
down 163%: No final dividend declared.
Revenue R9,4 billion. Operating profit R234 million. Current order book R10,0
billion. Headline (loss)/earnings per share down 163%
AngloGold to stop paying NUM
salaries – Venkat: Shareholders grill
Venkat over salaries, safety records and HIV policies. JOHANNESBURG - The
payments made by South Africa’s major miners towards the salaries of National
Union of Mineworkers (NUM) officials were the subject of a lengthy discussion at
the annual general meeting (AGM) of AngloGold Ashanti (JSE:ANG)
on Monday, after a shareholder called for an immediate end to the practice. An
equity holder of the company told Chairman Tito Mboweni that the principle that
the group had to contribute to the salaries of union officials, while
shareholders had to suffer the consequences of labour violence and strikes, was
unbearable. “Why remunerate those leaders? For what?” the shareholder said.
“After 30 years I think they should stand on their own
feet.”
Competition penalties hit
results in construction sector: Raubex
and Stefannuti announce multi-million rand fine
provisions.
CAPE TOWN - Slowly but surely a
picture is emerging of the penalties the construction sector will have to digest
with regard to its collusion in pricing and project allocation over the last
number of years. Stefannuti Stocks (JSE:SSK)
and Raubex (JSE:RBX)
were the latest companies to announce possible penalty figures. Stefanutti
advised its investors that the proposed penalty is R323m, roughly 3.9% of its
2012 turnover. Raubex, which released results for the year to February on
Monday, announced that it has made a provision of R59m, which equates to 1.1% of
its turnover in 2012. Prior to this, Basil Read announced that it had provided
for a R75m penalty, which equates to 1.36% of its R5.5bn turnover in
2012.
Life Healthcare H1 HEPS up
20%: Interim cash dividend of 54 cents
per share. Paid patient days (PPDs): +1,5% Revenue: +7,0% to R5 638 million.
Operating profit: +12,7% to R1 361 million. Normalised earnings per share:
+14,5% to 71,3 cents. Interim cash dividend: +20% to 54
cents
Stocks rise, but Amplats at
almost eight-year low: Amplats, Implats
fall over 5%, Richemont up. JOHANNESBURG - South African stocks gained on Monday
as investors sought bargains after two previous sessions of decline, but Anglo
American Platinum (JSE:AMS)
fell heavily again as the market gave a thumbs down to its revised restructuring
plan. The blue-chip Top-40 index rose 0.45% to 35,740.30, while the broader
All-share index closed 0.44% higher at 40,407.27. Amplats, the world's top
platinum producer, fell sharply for a second straight trading day. On Friday, it
said it would cut 6,000 South African mining jobs, fewer than half the 14,000
initially proposed, as it tries to restore profits without provoking a backlash
from the government and restive unions.
Telkom appoints Head of
Strategy: This enhances the expertise
of our leadership team - Maseko. Miriam Altman has been announced as the Head of
Strategy of Telkom Group with effect from 1 June 2013. Altman will support the
development and execution of Telkom’s strategy and will report directly to the
CEO. Dr Altman was an Executive Director at the HSRC from 2002 – 2010, where she
played a leading role in its transformation and established its highly
influential work on employment. She is a member of the National Planning
Commission and will continue to serve on the NPC.
Rand, govt bonds hit by
labour tensions: Currency could fall
through the year's low of 9.3655. JOHANNESBURG - The rand fell against the
dollar and is likely to stay under pressure as the possibility of a violent
'strike season' adds to concerns about South Africa's national accounts deficit.
The rand was down 0.53% at 9.1507 to the dollar at 18h37 on Monday, off a 9.0965
close in New York on Friday. It briefly fell to 9.1555 earlier in the session,
its weakest level in more than two weeks.
In the short term, investors
are wary of a labour union backlash after Anglo American Platinum (JSE:AMS)
said last week it would cut 6,000 South African mining jobs, albeit fewer than
half the 14,000 initially proposed.
Transnet to shut coal export
line for 12 days: To conduct
maintenance. JOHANNESBURG - South African logistics group Transnet will suspend
the coal export line leading to the Richards Bay terminal for 12 days from May
14 to conduct maintenance, the company said on Monday. Mining companies who use
the line to export their coal include Anglo American, BHP Billiton , Exxaro and
Xstrata.
Source: 28E Capital (Pty) Ltd
Friday, May 10, 2013
Thursday, May 9, 2013
Bly weg van trust-smouse
Mei 04 2013
Bron: Rapport Sondag Koerant
’n Leser uit Jeffreysbaai het vrae oor sy
familietrust.
Hy het dit “op aanbeveling” geskep en hy en sy vrou het
jaarliks die maksimum belastingvrye skenkingsbedrag aan die trust oorgemaak wat
meestal in effektetrusts belê is. Hy is die trustee en sy vrou en kinders die
begunstigdes.
Dis die kern van sy brief.
En dan wil hy weet: Is
die trust deel van sy boedel? Wat is die posisie ten opsigte van belasting op
die trust ná sy afsterwe?
Hierdie is vir my tipiese probleme wat kan
ontstaan as jy jou ore uitleen aan trustsmouse wat net daarop ingestel is om
geld uit jou te maak.
Dié tipe vrae skep op sy beurt by my baie vrae, wat
ek nie aan die leser kon vra nie, want hy gee nie ’n telefoonnommer of e-pos in
sy brief nie.
Ek vra dit hier sodat lesers dit aan hul “raadgewer” kan
vra as hulle met ’n trustvoorstel te doene kry. Waarom, sou my eerste vraag
wees, moet die belegging in die familietrust gedoen word – hoekom nie in jou
en/of jou vrou se eie naam nie?
Dit kon wees om vir
boedelbelastingdoeleindes dié geld uit jou boedel te hou. En dan sou ek wou
weet, wie betaal die inkomstebelasting op die opbrengs op die belegging? Die
trust?
Dan het jy R22 800 per jaar se rentevrystelling gemis. Dit geld
net individue, nie trusts nie. Die trust betaal boonop 40% belasting (op die
rente en huurinkomste in die belegging) teenoor jou eie koers. En
kapitaalwinsbelasting op die verhandeling in aandele Trusts betaal KWB teen 26%
en individue ’n maksimum van net 13,3%.
Ek weet belasting-slimjanne sal
sê die opbrengs word toegeken aan begunstigdes en die individu betaal dus
belasting in sy naam teen die laer koers (die sogenaamde
deurvloeibeginsel).
Dit sou waar kon wees, maar dan is die vraag: Wat is
dan die doel van die trust Sodra geld aan ’n individu toegeken word, verkry hy
’n gevestigde reg daarop. Dit behoort dan nie meer aan die trust
nie.
Prakties is dit terug in die boedel van die begunstigde en vatbaar
vir boedelbelasting, skuldeisers en egskeidingseise.
Net een trustee?
Nog meer, net die familie as trustees Kom ons kyk wat sê die hof. In die saak
Landbank vs. Parker het die hof hom ondubbelsinnig uitgespreek teen trusts wat
deur die familie beheer word, laat staan nog net een trustee.
’n
Onafhanklike trustee is nodig as jy nie jou aan die verkeerde kant van ’n eis,
of van Jan Taks, wil bevind nie.
“Is die trust deel van my boedel?” Nie
noodwendig nie. ’n Trust wat reg opgestel is en reg bestuur word, moet juis
voorkom dat trustbates by jou dood in jou boedel opgeneem word.
My
ervaring is dat die meeste trusts nie korrek opgestel is nie. Die talle onlangse
hofuitsprake tot die verdriet van trustoprigters ondersteun my
siening.
Verder bepaal art. 3(3)(d) van die Boedelbelastingwet (Wet 45
van 1955) dat enige bate waaroor jy kort voor jou dood in staat was om tot jou
eie voordeel oor te beskik, in jou boedel opgeneem kan word.
Dit sal dus
afhang van hoe jy met hierdie belegging te werk gegaan het. Asof dit jou eie
is? Dan is die kans goed dat dit in jou boedel kan
beland.
Wednesday, May 8, 2013
All you need to know for the 2013 tax season
Who needs to register for income tax?
The South African Revenue Service (SARS) requires everyone who receives employment income, including those below the tax threshold, to register for income tax.
Who is required to submit an income tax return to SARS?
Everyone who earns an income is required to submit a completed and signed income tax return to SARS, unless they meet all of the following requirements (according to SARS’ current practice):
• They earn an income of less than R120 000 for a tax year (i.e. from 1 March to 28 February)
• Their full income is earned from one source (i.e. the Allan Gray Living Annuity)
• Their income does not include any other allowances or deductions
For the 2012/2013 tax year, the taxable income threshold for individuals on which no tax is payable is as follows:
Age Below age
65
|
R63 556
|
Age 65 and below 75
|
R99 056
|
Age 75 and over
|
R110 889
|
Once these thresholds have been exceeded, the specific rates at which individuals are taxed depend on the amount of taxable income received. A year of assessment for an individual consists of twelve months starting from 1 March and ending on the last day of February of the following year.
What is an income tax return?
This is a declaration of income earned and capital gains or losses realised in a tax year (i.e. from 1 March to 28 February). If clients are required to submit an income tax return (see above requirements) they will need to complete and file a tax return each year during SARS’ tax filing period. More information on the filing period and processes is available at www.sars.gov.za.
Dividend Withholding Tax
Dividend Withholding Tax (DWT) came into effect on 1 April 2012. It is a withholding tax that falls outside of the normal tax rules (i.e. the rules that govern the calculation of an individual’s personal income tax return calculation). Dividends are taxable in the hands of the investor for dividends tax purposes, but remain exempt for income tax purposes.
We are required to deduct DWT at the applicable rate (e.g. 15%) from the value of our clients’ dividends and pay it to SARS. The way in which clients complete their income tax return is not affected in any way. They should include all local gross dividends they have received in the ‘exempt dividends’ field on their income tax return.
How will clients receive their tax certificates?
We will send our clients their tax certificates according to their communications preference (i.e. email or post). Alternatively, they can access their tax certificates by calling us 086 111 7625.
Joint accounts
We issue tax certificates or statements in the name of the joint account holders, but only include the primary account holder’s ID number. Each joint account holder is required to submit the tax certificate to SARS detailing how the investment is split between the account holders.
Taxpayer season
The 2013 taxpayer season will commence on 1 July 2013. The deadlines are as follows:
• 1 July 2013 - 27 September 2013 (for non-provisional and provisional taxpayers who submit their tax returns manually)
• 1 July 2013 - 22 November 2013 (for non-provisional taxpayers who submit their returns via eFiling)
• 1 July 2013 - 31 January 2014 (for provisional taxpayers who submit their returns via eFiling)
Source: Allan Gray
Source: Allan Gray
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